“Veni, vidi, vici”: Covid19 (Part 2)

The variables that most influence the evolution of Covid19 seem to be its transmission speed, and the protection and/or containment measures that allow this speed to be reduced. On this basis, I propose my estimates for the future. If the management of the remainder of the pandemic is correct, I would consider it a "minor" evil to have in Spain an impact on the GDP of 13%, a peak of net infections of 350,000 people, and, unfortunately, the number of deaths above 44,000.